Loading...
Market
Will Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi be convicted of plotting an ISIS terrorist attack by end of 2025?
4
Afghan•Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi•IS•United States•Election Day•Tawhedi•CIA•Afghanistan•Taliban•FBI•Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas•Chuck Grassley
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court records and announcements
Story
Ex-CIA Afghan Guard Charged with Plotting ISIS Election Day Attack in U.S.
Oct 11, 2024, 01:20 PM
An Afghan national, Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi, has been charged with plotting an ISIS terrorist attack in the United States on Election Day. Tawhedi, who previously worked as a security guard for the CIA in Afghanistan, entered the U.S. on September 9, 2021, under humanitarian parole, following the U.S. military withdrawal and the Taliban's takeover. The FBI is investigating whether he was radicalized before or after his arrival. Concerns have been raised about how Tawhedi was able to enter the country and whether other suspected terrorists are present. Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas has faced scrutiny for refusing to discuss the case. Lawmakers, including Senator Chuck Grassley, are demanding answers from the FBI regarding the screening processes for Afghan evacuees.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Providing material support to ISIS • 25%
Conspiring to receive weapons and ammunition • 25%
Both charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
Immigration-related charges • 25%
Other charges • 25%
No conviction • 25%
Conspiracy to conduct a terrorist attack • 25%
Possession of illegal firearms • 25%
Material support to a terrorist organization • 25%
Not convicted of any charges • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%