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Market
Will NASA award SpaceX another major contract by 2028?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NASA press releases and official contract announcements
Story
SpaceX to Launch NASA's Dragonfly Mission to Titan with Falcon Heavy Rocket
Nov 29, 2024, 03:13 PM
SpaceX has been awarded a $256.6 million contract by NASA to launch the Dragonfly mission to Saturn's moon Titan using a Falcon Heavy rocket. The launch window is scheduled between July 5 and August 2028. This mission is part of NASA's ambitious plans to explore Titan, with the Dragonfly rotorcraft set to study the moon's surface and atmosphere. SpaceX's selection for this mission highlights its growing role in space exploration, especially following its recent achievements in launch frequency and payload capacity. In 2024, SpaceX has dominated the space launch market, with 87% of worldwide upmass to space, 62% of orbital launches, and 86% of spacecrafts launched. Additionally, SpaceX has received approval from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to increase its launches from 5 to 25 per year, aiming to expand its operations significantly.
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NASA • 25%
US Department of Defense • 25%
European Space Agency • 25%
Other • 25%
NASA • 33%
US Department of Defense • 33%
Commercial entity • 33%
Mars mission • 33%
Lunar mission • 33%
Orbital satellite deployment • 34%
NASA • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
International Government • 25%
Commercial Entity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NASA contract • 25%
Department of Defense contract • 25%
Department of Energy contract • 25%
No major contract • 25%
