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Will Microsoft achieve 20 or more logical qubits in their quantum computing system by September 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from Microsoft or major news outlets
Story
Microsoft Achieves Quantum Computing Breakthrough with 12 Qubits, Plans Commercial Offering
Sep 10, 2024, 03:04 PM
Microsoft, in collaboration with Quantinuum and Atom Computing, has achieved a significant milestone in quantum computing by demonstrating the first combination of computation and error correction, creating 12 highly reliable logical qubits. This breakthrough includes the best performing logical qubits on record and plans for a commercial offering. The collaboration aims to accelerate the development of fault-tolerant quantum computing, potentially solving problems beyond the reach of classical systems. Additionally, HPC, AI, and quantum computing were used together in this achievement.
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Less than 50 • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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More than 24 but less than 30 qubits • 25%
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