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Market
Will Matteo Salvini be convicted and sentenced to six years in prison by December 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court records and announcements
Story
Italian Prosecutors Seek Six-Year Sentence for Matteo Salvini Over Blocking 147 Migrants
Sep 14, 2024, 04:05 PM
Italian prosecutors have initiated an indictment against Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, seeking a six-year prison sentence. The charges stem from his actions as Interior Minister in 2019, when he prevented the NGO vessel Open Arms from disembarking 147 migrants in Italy. Prosecutors argue that this decision amounts to kidnapping and refusal to perform official acts.
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Remains Deputy PM • 25%
Resigns from position • 25%
Elected to a higher office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New charges filed • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
No significant consequences • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
