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Will Maia Sandu win the Moldovan presidential runoff on November 3, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official results announced by Moldova's Central Election Commission
Story
Moldova Votes in Tight Runoff Between Sandu and Stoianoglo Amid Russian Interference Fears
Nov 3, 2024, 05:02 AM
Moldova is holding a pivotal presidential runoff election on Sunday, as pro-European incumbent President Maia Sandu faces a tight contest against Russia-friendly challenger Alexandr Stoianoglo, the former Prosecutor General. Sandu secured 42% of the vote in the first round but faces a stiffer challenge in the runoff. The election comes amid heightened concerns over Russian interference, with officials warning of potential disruptive activities, including bomb threats at polling stations across multiple Western nations. Prime Minister Dorin Recean described anonymous threats received by citizens as an attempt to create panic and fear ahead of the vote, although Russia denies any meddling. A defeat for Sandu would be a crushing blow to Moldova's aspirations for a European future, potentially shifting the country's trajectory towards closer ties with Russia.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Alexandr Stoianoglo • 50%
Maia Sandu • 50%
Alexander Stoianoglo • 50%
Pro-European candidate wins • 33%
Pro-Russian candidate wins • 33%
No clear winner declared • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Below 50% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
Above 70% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stoianoglo 50% or more • 25%
Sandu 50% or more • 25%
Stoianoglo less than 50%, Sandu less than 50% • 25%
Exact tie • 25%