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Market
Will LignoSat show significant material degradation by May 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mission reports or press releases from Kyoto University or Sumitomo Forestry detailing material degradation
Story
Japan Launches World's First Wooden Satellite, LignoSat, via SpaceX
Nov 5, 2024, 04:45 AM
The world's first wooden satellite, LignoSat, developed by Japanese researchers at Kyoto University and Sumitomo Forestry, was launched into space on November 5, 2024. The satellite, made from magnolia wood, was sent into orbit aboard a SpaceX rocket as part of the CRS-31 resupply mission to the International Space Station (ISS). The mission aims to test the durability of wooden materials in the harsh conditions of space over a six-month period, with potential applications for future lunar and Mars exploration.
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Similar markets
No degradation • 25%
Minor degradation • 25%
Moderate degradation • 25%
Severe degradation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fully intact and functional • 25%
Minor damage but operational • 25%
Significant damage but operational • 25%
Non-operational • 25%
Earth observation • 25%
Lunar missions • 25%
Mars missions • 25%
Other applications • 25%
Lunar exploration • 25%
Mars exploration • 25%
Satellite construction • 25%
Other • 25%
