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VisitWill Labour Party secure over 450 seats in the 2024 UK general election?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the UK Electoral Commission
Labour Set for Historic Victory as Conservatives Face Worst Defeat in 200 Years, YouGov and Savanta Polls Show
Jun 19, 2024, 03:55 PM
The latest polls indicate a significant shift in the UK's political landscape ahead of the general election on July 4. According to multiple sources, including Ipsos MRP, YouGov, and Savanta, the Labour Party, led by Keir Starmer, is poised for a historic victory, potentially securing between 425 and 516 seats, with projections suggesting a majority ranging from 162 to 382 seats. The Conservative Party, under Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, faces a devastating defeat, with forecasts predicting they could win as few as 53 to 155 seats. Notably, Sunak himself is at risk of losing his seat, a historic first for a sitting Prime Minister. The Reform Party, led by Nigel Farage, is also making significant gains, with some polls suggesting they could win up to 5 seats. The Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party (SNP) are also projected to make gains, with the Liberal Democrats potentially winning up to 67 seats and the SNP up to 20 seats. The Green Party is expected to secure 2 to 3 seats. These projections, reported by Sky News and the Telegraph, indicate a dramatic realignment in UK politics, with the Conservatives potentially facing their worst result in nearly 200 years.
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Less than 400 • 25%
400-420 • 25%
421-440 • 25%
More than 440 • 25%
210-220 seats • 25%
221-230 seats • 25%
231-240 seats • 25%
241+ seats • 25%
Less than 400 • 25%
400-420 • 25%
421-440 • 25%
More than 440 • 25%
Less than 410 • 25%
410 to 431 • 25%
432 to 444 • 25%
More than 444 • 25%
Gain 30+ seats • 25%
Gain 10-29 seats • 25%
Gain 1-9 seats • 25%
No gains or lose seats • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-49 • 25%
150+ • 25%
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50-99 • 25%
450-499 • 25%
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400-449 • 25%
500-549 • 25%