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Will Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran by the end of 2024?
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Iran•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•New York Times•Khamenei•Mojtaba Khamenei•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Iranian government or credible international news agencies
Story
Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei, 85, Reportedly Has Terminal Cancer; Son Mojtaba Seen as Successor
Oct 26, 2024, 08:03 PM
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, 85, is reportedly seriously ill with a terminal illness, according to reports attributed to the New York Times. Khamenei, who has led Iran since 1989, is believed to be suffering from advanced cancer. Discussions about his succession have reportedly begun, with his second oldest son, Mojtaba Khamenei, 55, considered a likely successor. The powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is expected to have significant influence over the decision and is viewed as more willing to confront Israel. U.S. officials believe that Khamenei's health has been declining since at least 2019.
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