Final pre-election polls published by recognized polling organizations

Harris and Trump in Tight Race as Favorability Surges, Harris Leads by 4 Points in Pennsylvania

Jul 30, 2024, 01:59 PM

Recent polling data reveals a highly competitive race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump for the 2024 presidential election. Harris has seen a significant rise in her favorability ratings, with a Morning Consult poll showing her favorability at 50%, up from 43%. This increase follows President Joe Biden's decision to exit the race and endorse her. The enthusiasm gap between the two candidates has also narrowed, with 88% of Democrats expressing enthusiasm for Harris compared to 82% of Republicans for Trump. Harris is leading Trump in Pennsylvania by 4 points, according to a Susquehanna poll. However, Trump maintains a lead in Florida, with 49% compared to Harris' 42%, according to a University of North Florida poll. Both campaigns have launched major ad buys, with Trump spending $12 million on ads targeting Harris' record on immigration, while Harris' campaign has invested $50 million in paid media ahead of the Democratic National Convention. Additionally, Josh Shapiro's odds of becoming Harris' running mate have surged to 42%.