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Market
Will Julian Assange face new legal issues by mid-2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publicly available news sources and official announcements
Story
Julian Assange Pleads Guilty in Deal with U.S. Securing His Freedom
Jun 26, 2024, 12:33 AM
Julian Assange, the founder of WikiLeaks, has pleaded guilty to a single felony charge for publishing U.S. military secrets. The plea bargain, reached in a U.S. court in Saipan on Wednesday, secures his freedom and ends a prolonged legal fight with the U.S. Justice Department. This deal concludes years of legal drama surrounding Assange's activities with WikiLeaks.
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No further charges • 33%
New charges in the US • 33%
New charges in another country • 34%
Extradited to the US • 25%
Remains in UK • 25%
Released • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Granted asylum • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Re-arrested • 25%
Other • 25%
New charges in Australia • 33%
Extradition to another country • 33%
No further legal action • 33%
Extradited to the US • 25%
Receives a pardon • 25%
Continues to fight extradition • 25%
Other • 25%
