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Will Josh Shapiro announce his candidacy for the 2024 Presidential Election by September 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from Josh Shapiro or his campaign, reported by major news outlets
Story
Polls Indicate Harris-Shapiro Ticket Could Outperform Trump-Vance
Jul 18, 2024, 11:02 PM
Democratic donors are urging Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro to join the presidential race alongside Vice President Kamala Harris, sources reveal. Despite the pressure, Shapiro has not yet committed. Polls indicate that a Harris-Shapiro ticket could potentially outperform a Trump-Vance ticket by one point in Pennsylvania. Shapiro is currently outperforming both Biden and Harris in key swing states, leading Biden by nine points and Harris by six points in Pennsylvania. The speculation about Biden stepping down is intensifying, with some suggesting that the Democrats are preparing for a Harris-Shapiro ticket to counter Trump. Prediction markets have also shifted, indicating a likely Trump vs. Harris race. This comes amid post-debate fallout for Biden and concerns that only 47% of Americans recognize Shapiro. Some believe the heightened talk of Biden dropping out is a strategy to overshadow Trump's speech.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Remains Governor of Pennsylvania • 25%
Announces run for Senate • 25%
Announces run for Presidency • 25%
Resigns or retires from politics • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
His Jewish faith • 25%
His first-term status • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Other • 25%