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Will Joe Biden publish a memoir on his 2024 campaign decision by end of 2025?
5
Joe Biden•Donald Trump•White House•The Guardian•Biden•Democrats•Kamala Harris•Harris•Trump•Merrick Garland•Garland
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publication of memoir or major news outlets
Story
Biden Regrets Ending Campaign, Believes He Could Have Defeated Trump; Cites Regrets Over Garland's January 6 Prosecution
Dec 28, 2024, 05:59 PM
Joe Biden reportedly regrets ending his re-election campaign and believes he would have defeated Donald Trump in the recent election, according to White House sources cited by The Guardian. Biden's decision to withdraw in July came after a poor debate performance and pressure from fellow Democrats, leading to Kamala Harris becoming the party's nominee. Despite Harris's campaign surge, she ultimately lost to Trump. Biden also expressed regret over appointing Merrick Garland as Attorney General, citing Garland's slow pace in prosecuting Trump for his role in the January 6, 2021, insurrection.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Announces he will not run • 25%
Announces candidacy • 25%
No announcement by end of 2025 • 25%
Delegates decision to Democratic Party • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retired • 25%
Political Advisor • 25%
Author • 25%
University Lecturer • 25%
Announces 2028 run • 25%
Other involvement • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Endorses a candidate • 25%