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Will JAXA cancel the Epsilon S rocket program by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from JAXA or credible news sources
Story
JAXA's Epsilon S Rocket Engine Explodes Again During Test; No Injuries Reported
Nov 26, 2024, 03:19 AM
Japan's space agency, JAXA, halted a combustion test of its Epsilon S rocket's second-stage engine after a fire broke out approximately 49 seconds after ignition at the Tanegashima Space Center in Kagoshima Prefecture on November 26, 2024. This marks the second consecutive failure of the engine's test, following a similar explosion in July 2023. The fire, which was extinguished after about two hours, produced a significant explosion with fireballs and white smoke observed. No injuries or damage to third parties were reported. The incident poses a setback for Japan's small rocket development program, making a launch within the current fiscal year unlikely.
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Human Error • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Material Failure • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Continue with current schedule • 25%
Modify testing procedures • 25%
Redesign engine components • 25%
Postpone all related projects • 25%
Successful • 33%
Minor issues • 33%
Major failure • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NASA • 25%
ESA • 25%
Roscosmos • 25%
No Partner • 25%
Replace with new aircraft model • 25%
Upgrade existing fleet • 25%
No replacement planned • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%