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Market
Will Israel's alliances with Muslim countries be impacted by Ben-Gvir's proposal by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or diplomatic actions from Muslim countries
Story
Far-Right Ben-Gvir's Synagogue Proposal Challenges Al-Aqsa Status Quo
Aug 26, 2024, 10:59 AM
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, a far-right figure, has sparked controversy by announcing his intention to build a synagogue within the courtyards of the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound in Jerusalem. This statement has drawn widespread criticism and is seen as a challenge to the longstanding status quo, which forbids Jewish prayer at the site. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reiterated that there is no change in the status quo regarding the Temple Mount. The proposal has been condemned by various political figures and is viewed as a potential threat to Israel's strategic alliances with Muslim countries.
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Ben Gvir removed from position • 25%
Netanyahu takes no action • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Resigns from position • 25%
Faces legal action • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Other • 25%
Resignation • 33%
Public apology • 33%
No action • 33%
Strong condemnation • 25%
Mild condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Relations remain the same • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
Relations worsen • 33%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Policy changes towards Gaza • 25%
No policy changes • 25%
Resignation or removal of Smotrich • 25%
Other • 25%