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Will Israel change the status quo policy on Jewish prayers at the Temple Mount by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government announcements or credible news reports
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Ben Gvir Leads Jewish Prayers at Al-Aqsa, Challenging Status Quo
Aug 13, 2024, 11:04 AM
In a controversial move, Israel's Minister of National Security, Ben Gvir, led Jewish worshipers in prayer at the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound, a site known as the Temple Mount to Jews. This action challenges the longstanding status quo, which has traditionally banned Jewish prayers at the sensitive site. The event, which saw hundreds of supporters participating, has sparked tensions with Prime Minister Netanyahu, who has previously upheld the policy of restricting Jewish prayer at the location. The Temple Mount is a significant religious site for both Muslims and Jews, making the incident particularly sensitive.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More storming incidents • 25%
Peaceful visits only • 25%
Complete ban on visits • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Expansion halted • 25%
Expansion accelerated • 25%
Expansion reduced • 25%
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Continued support for annexation • 25%
Shift to negotiation • 25%
Abandon annexation plans • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
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Leadership change in Israeli government • 25%
Policy reversal without leadership change • 25%
Continuation of current leadership and policy • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%