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Will Israel and Hamas engage in direct negotiations for prisoner exchange by end of 2025?
3
Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Shin Bet•Oron Shaul•Golani Brigade•Hamas•Shejaiya•Gaza•Operation Protective Edge•Shaul•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israel Defense Forces, Hamas, or international mediators
Story
IDF Recovers Body of Golani Soldier Oron Shaul Held by Hamas Since 2014
Jan 19, 2025, 06:03 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the Shin Bet security agency have recovered the body of Staff Sergeant Oron Shaul, a 20-year-old Golani Brigade soldier who was killed during fierce fighting with Hamas in the Shejaiya neighborhood of Gaza on July 20, 2014, during Operation Protective Edge. Shaul's body was abducted by Hamas and held for over a decade. The clandestine operation to retrieve his remains was carried out shortly before a ceasefire came into effect. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced the successful mission.
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Partial agreement reached • 25%
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
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