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Will ISKP's financial network in Turkey be significantly disrupted by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Turkish intelligence agency MİT or international security agencies
Story
Turkish Intelligence Captures ISIS Member Involved in Italian Church Attack in Istanbul Earlier This Year
Sep 14, 2024, 11:59 AM
Turkish intelligence agency MİT has captured Viskhan Soltamatov, an ISIS member involved in planning an attack on the Italian Santa Maria Church in Istanbul earlier this year. Soltamatov, who provided the weapon used in the attack, was arrested in Istanbul. During his testimony, he disclosed information regarding ISKP’s financial, logistics, and recruitment activities.
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Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
