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Market
Will Iranian officials deny plot to assassinate Trump by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from Iranian government officials or credible news outlets like CNN, New York Times, or Washington Post
Story
U.S. Obtains Intel on Iranian Plot to Assassinate Trump, Secret Service Increases Security
Jul 16, 2024, 06:23 PM
U.S. authorities have recently obtained intelligence from a human source about an Iranian plot to assassinate former President Donald Trump. This development led the Secret Service to increase security around Trump in recent weeks. The intelligence was received weeks before an unrelated shooting incident involving Trump on Saturday. The plot has been confirmed by multiple sources and reported by CNN, highlighting the ongoing security concerns surrounding the former president. There is no known connection between the plot and the shooting.
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Iran denies the plot • 25%
Iran confirms the plot • 25%
Iran remains silent • 25%
Iran blames another entity • 25%
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