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Will Iran conduct a direct military attack on Israel by September 30, 2024?
3
Iran•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•Israel•Hamas•Ismail Haniyeh•Tehran•Iranian•The New York Times•Supreme National Security Council
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified reports from credible news organizations such as The New York Times, BBC, or Reuters
Story
Iran’s Khamenei Orders Direct Attack on Israel After Haniyeh Assassination in Tehran
Jul 31, 2024, 07:24 PM
Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has ordered a direct attack on Israel in retaliation for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. The order was confirmed by three Iranian officials who briefed The New York Times. The directive was issued during an emergency meeting of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council.
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