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Will Iran be accused of attempting to assassinate a U.S. official by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official charges or accusations made by U.S. authorities or international bodies
Story
Iran's Pezeshkian Denies Trump Assassination Plot in NBC Interview, Open to Talks if U.S. Keeps Promises
Jan 15, 2025, 08:09 AM
In an interview with NBC News anchor Lester Holt, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian denied allegations that Iran plotted to assassinate U.S. President-elect Donald Trump during last year's election campaign. He stated that Iran "never" attempted such actions and "never will." Pezeshkian called the accusations a scheme by Israel and other nations to promote hostility towards Iran. He also emphasized that Iran is not seeking nuclear weapons and warned Trump against risking war, asserting that Iran is not afraid of conflict but hopes for peace. Pezeshkian expressed readiness to engage in talks with the incoming Trump administration if the U.S. demonstrates commitment to its promises, saying, "If Trump proves he will keep his word, we will engage in talks."
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Improved Relations • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Change in Relations • 25%
Iran found not guilty • 25%
Iran found guilty • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
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No Significant Reaction • 25%
Support for Iran • 25%
Calls for Investigation • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Legal Action • 25%
Formal Denial • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Action • 25%