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Will IDF successfully retaliate against Hezbollah by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces or Israeli government
Story
Hezbollah Drone Attack South of Haifa Kills 3, Injures 39
Oct 13, 2024, 04:51 PM
A Hezbollah drone attack on an Israeli military base in Binyamina, south of Haifa, has resulted in significant casualties. The drone struck the dining hall of a Golani Brigade base, causing a mass casualty event. Reports indicate that at least 39 people were injured, with varying degrees of severity. Among the injured, 5 are in critical condition, and several others are seriously wounded. Additionally, 3 people have been confirmed killed. Emergency services, including helicopters and ambulances, have been deployed to evacuate the wounded to nearby hospitals. The Israeli Defense Forces are investigating the incident, particularly the failure of warning sirens prior to the attack.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant reduction in Hezbollah's capabilities • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Hezbollah's capabilities increase • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike on Hezbollah positions • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains strong • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Major Hezbollah Retaliation • 25%
Reduced Tensions without Formal Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah minimally impacted • 25%
Hezbollah unaffected • 25%