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Will HMPV infection rates in northern China decline by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Chinese health officials or reputable health organizations
Story
China Reports Recent Decline in HMPV Infections in Northern Regions, Confirms Virus Not New Variant
Jan 12, 2025, 11:02 AM
Chinese health officials have clarified that human metapneumovirus (HMPV) is not a new variant, stating it has coexisted with humans for several decades. The recent increase in HMPV reports is attributed to advancements in detection methods rather than the emergence of new infectious diseases. The overall positive rate for HMPV testing has risen but remains fluctuating near a stable level, with a noted decline in cases observed in northern China. Officials emphasized that the rate of flu-like HMPV infections is declining, particularly in the northern regions.
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