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Will Guam voter turnout exceed 50% in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official voter turnout data published by the Guam Election Commission
Story
Harris Wins Guam Straw Poll 49.5% to Trump's 46.2% with 48.3% Turnout; Biden's 2020 Margin Was 13.5%
Nov 5, 2024, 04:41 PM
In the recent non-binding presidential straw poll held in Guam, Kamala Harris emerged victorious over Donald Trump, securing 49.5% of the votes compared to Trump's 46.2%. This result marks a shift from the 2020 election, where Joe Biden won Guam by a margin of 13.5 percentage points, receiving 55.38% of the votes against Trump's 41.91%. The latest tally indicates a total voter turnout of 48.3%, slightly lower than the 52.5% turnout in 2020. The straw poll results reflect a growing trend towards the Republican party in Guam, as evidenced by the recent flip of the legislature to red for the first time since 2008. The total number of votes cast in the straw poll was 27,314, with additional candidates like RFK receiving 3.43% and other minor candidates accounting for the remaining votes. The results indicate a competitive political landscape as the 2024 election approaches.
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