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Will gold reserves exceed 15% of central bank reserves by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the International Monetary Fund or World Gold Council
Story
Gold Set for 27% Annual Gain, 14.7% of Total Reserves, Amid Central Bank Purchases
Dec 30, 2024, 07:00 AM
Gold is poised to achieve one of its largest annual gains this century, with a 27% increase attributed to US monetary easing, ongoing geopolitical risks, and significant purchases by central banks. The share of gold reserves as a percentage of total central bank reserves reached 14.7% in 2023, the highest level in over 20 years. Despite a strong US dollar rally in the fourth quarter, which saw a 6.6% increase, gold is still on track for an impressive annual gain of 26%. This performance stands out in a mixed year for metals markets.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 15% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
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Other • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase by 50-100 tonnes • 25%
Increase by more than 100 tonnes • 25%
Increase by less than 50 tonnes • 25%
No increase • 25%
Top 10 • 25%
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Currency instability • 25%
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