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Market
Will foul play be determined in the sinking of Mike Lynch's superyacht by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Sicilian authorities or investigative agencies
Story
Autopsies Confirm Drowning in Mike Lynch's $40M Superyacht Sinking
Sep 2, 2024, 11:35 PM
Autopsies have revealed that drowning was the cause of death for two passengers, a US banker and his wife, who were aboard Mike Lynch's superyacht, Bayesian. The yacht, valued at $40 million, sank off the coast of Sicily. Authorities confirmed the findings on Monday after conducting the first post-mortem examinations. The deceased were identified as a US banker and an NYC lawyer, along with their wives.
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Accidental • 25%
Criminal Act • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Human Error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural Disaster • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Crew Member • 25%
External Party • 25%
Manufacturer • 25%
No Responsibility Established • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yacht manufacturer • 25%
Captain of the yacht • 25%
Yacht owner • 25%
No legal action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Negligence by crew • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Negligence confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure confirmed • 25%
Weather conditions confirmed • 25%
Other factors confirmed • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%