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Will Evan Gershkovich be sentenced to more than 10 years if convicted?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
More than 10 years • 50%
10 years or less • 50%
Official court announcement or credible news outlets
Story
WSJ Reporter Evan Gershkovich's Espionage Trial Begins in Yekaterinburg on June 26
Jun 26, 2024, 05:51 AM
The espionage trial of Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich has begun in Yekaterinburg, Russia, on June 26. Gershkovich, who has been accused of collecting secrets for the CIA, denies the charges. The trial is being held behind closed doors, meaning no reporters, friends, or family are allowed to attend. Gershkovich, who appeared with a shaved head and has spent the last year in a notorious Moscow jail, could face up to 20 years in prison if convicted. He is one of at least a dozen American citizens currently held in Russian prisons. The Wall Street Journal has condemned the trial as a 'sham' process.
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Less than 10 years • 50%
10 years or more • 50%
Less than 10 years • 25%
10-15 years • 25%
15-18 years • 25%
More than 18 years • 25%
Less than 5 years • 33%
5 to 10 years • 33%
More than 10 years • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Widespread diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Targeted sanctions against Russia • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Mistrial or retrial • 33%