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Market
Will El Salvador accept U.S. deportees by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. or Salvadoran government, credible news reports
Story
Trump Warns Venezuela, El Salvador to Accept Deportees or Face Economic Retaliation
Dec 16, 2024, 05:23 PM
President Donald Trump has announced that countries like Venezuela will be compelled to accept the deportation of their citizens from the United States, or face severe economic retaliation. This statement comes as part of Trump's broader plan for mass deportations, which he discussed in response to questions about handling criminal gangs such as Tren de Aragua from Venezuela. Trump emphasized that all countries involved would comply, stating, 'They'll take them back. They're all taking them back. And if they don't, they'll be met very harshly economically.' This policy stance reflects Trump's approach to immigration enforcement and international relations, aiming to enforce deportation agreements through economic leverage. Additionally, El Salvador has indicated its willingness to take back gang members who illegally crossed into the U.S.
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No agreements • 33%
Agreement with both • 33%
Agreement with Mexico only • 33%
Agreement with El Salvador only • 33%
Increases • 33%
Remains the same • 34%
Decreases • 33%
More than 10 countries • 25%
1 to 5 countries • 25%
None • 25%
6 to 10 countries • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
190 to 192 countries • 25%
Less than 190 countries • 25%
193 to 195 countries • 25%
More than 195 countries • 25%
