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VisitWill Donald Trump win the majority of swing states in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by state election boards and major news outlets
ABC-Ipsos Poll: Harris Leads Trump 51% to 47%, Gains in Swing States
Oct 27, 2024, 11:46 AM
An ABC-Ipsos poll indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 4 percentage points among likely voters, with Harris at 51% and Trump at 47%. This marks a significant shift, as Harris has regained a traditional Democratic advantage among Hispanic voters and has widened her lead among suburban women. The poll also suggests that Harris is narrowing the gap among white voters, contributing to a more favorable outlook for Democrats. Analysts note that Trump's support remains strong, particularly regarding his stance on the Middle East, which may reflect a right-leaning sentiment among the electorate. The dynamics of the race are expected to hinge on how these numbers translate in swing states, as the electoral map remains highly competitive.
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Split between multiple candidates • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
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Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%