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Market
Will Donald Trump face another significant threat or attack by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Credible news outlets and official statements from the Secret Service
Story
Trump's Secret Service Protection Strengthened Amid Democratic Efforts Months Before Shooting
Jul 14, 2024, 03:34 AM
Former President Donald Trump's Secret Service protection has been strengthened recently amid efforts by congressional Democrats to strip him of this security detail. There have been multiple attempts and proposals to revoke Trump's Secret Service protection, including a notable push by J6 Chairman Bennie Thompson. GOP lawmakers have criticized Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas for denying repeated requests for enhanced protection for Trump. Allies of Trump argue that these actions put his life in more danger, with some suggesting that the motives behind these moves are politically driven. Democrats started trying to strip Trump’s Secret Service protection just months before a shooting.
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Similar markets
Successful assassination • 25%
Attempt thwarted • 25%
No attempts made • 25%
Unclear or ambiguous outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No further incidents • 25%
Another armed individual gets close • 25%
Unarmed individual gets close • 25%
Other security breach • 25%
