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Market
Will DirecTV lose more than 500,000 subscribers due to the Disney channel blackout by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Quarterly financial reports from DirecTV
Story
DirecTV and Disney Fail to Reach Deal, ABC and ESPN Blackout Hits Millions
Sep 1, 2024, 11:35 PM
DirecTV and The Walt Disney Company have failed to reach a new distribution agreement, resulting in a blackout of Disney-owned channels, including ABC, ESPN, FX, and National Geographic, for over 11 million DirecTV subscribers. The blackout occurred just before the kickoff of the USC-LSU college football game and during the U.S. Open tennis tournament, leaving many sports fans without access. The dispute centers around carriage fees and distribution terms, with DirecTV accusing Disney of demanding excessive fees. Disney, in turn, claims it offered terms similar to those extended to other distributors. The blackout affects DirecTV's satellite and streaming services, with some markets experiencing a complete loss of ABC channels.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by 5-10% • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
DirecTV concedes to Disney's demands • 25%
Disney concedes to DirecTV's demands • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Majority blame DirecTV • 25%
Majority blame Disney • 25%
Blame equally distributed • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stock price increases • 25%
Stock price decreases • 25%
Stock price remains stable • 25%
Stock price highly volatile • 25%
Disney concedes to lower fees • 25%
DirecTV agrees to higher fees • 25%
Mutual agreement with no fee change • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increase in subscribers • 25%
Decrease in subscribers • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not disclosed • 25%