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Will Congress pass legislation to replace income tax with tariffs by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Congressional records or announcements
Story
Trump Proposes Replacing Income Tax with Tariffs, $500 Billion Middle-Class Tax Hike
Jun 13, 2024, 04:52 PM
Former President Donald Trump has floated the idea of replacing the income tax with an 'all tariff policy,' according to sources. During a meeting with House Republicans, Trump suggested that tariffs could be used to eliminate taxes on tips and counter adversaries. He noted that tariffs were a key funding mechanism for government operations before World War I. Economist Paul Krugman estimated that this policy would require an average tariff rate of 133 percent. Biden campaign spokesperson James Singer criticized the proposal, calling it a historic $500 billion a year middle-class tax hike that would raise prices to benefit the richest Americans. Trump also mentioned using tariff hikes to fund some income tax cuts.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Passed • 33%
Not Passed • 33%
Not Introduced • 33%
Passes in both House and Senate • 33%
Passes in House but not Senate • 33%
Fails in both House and Senate • 33%
Approved Without Changes • 33%
Approved With Changes • 33%
Rejected • 33%