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Market
Will China publicly oppose Nippon Steel's acquisition of U.S. Steel by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Chinese government or state media
Story
Biden to Decide on CFIUS Deadlock Over Nippon Steel's $15 Billion Acquisition of U.S. Steel Within 15 Days
Dec 24, 2024, 01:58 AM
The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) has failed to reach a consensus regarding Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel, valued at nearly $15 billion. This deadlock has resulted in the decision being referred to President Joe Biden, who has historically opposed the deal. Biden is expected to make a ruling within 15 days. The lack of agreement among CFIUS members centers on national security concerns related to the acquisition. Nippon Steel has expressed confidence that if the benefits of the deal are fairly evaluated, it would receive approval. The company has not received any updates from CFIUS regarding the review status. The situation has drawn attention due to the potential implications for U.S. steel production and international relations, particularly with China, which is perceived to have an interest in the outcome of the acquisition.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Supportive • 33%
Opposed • 34%
Neutral • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Abandonment of Deal • 25%
Negotiation for Terms • 25%
Legal Challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Approved • 25%
Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
Economic retaliatory measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Approve • 50%
Block • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%