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Will China announce retaliatory measures against US chip restrictions by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or relevant news agencies
Story
US to Introduce Regulations Targeting TSMC, Intel, and Samsung to Tighten Flow of Advanced Chips to China
Jan 15, 2025, 05:11 AM
The United States is set to introduce new regulations aimed at restricting the flow of advanced semiconductor chips to China. Key companies targeted by these measures include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Intel, and Samsung. The initiative is part of a broader strategy to control the export of critical technology and maintain a competitive edge in the semiconductor industry. Sources indicate that the regulations will specifically focus on preventing advanced chips from being supplied to China, reflecting ongoing tensions between the two nations.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Negotiate with the US • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Implement reciprocal export restrictions • 25%
File a WTO complaint • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%