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Market
Will China announce a counter-initiative in the Pacific region by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or international news agencies
Story
Australia Secures Pacific Endorsement for $271 Million Policing Plan
Aug 28, 2024, 03:22 AM
Australia has secured the endorsement of Pacific Island states for a regional policing plan aimed at countering China's influence in the Pacific. The Australian-funded initiative, valued at A$400 million ($271 million), seeks to enhance police training and establish a mobile regional policing unit. Despite initial concerns from some Pacific leaders, such as those from Vanuatu and Melanesia, the plan has gained support from Papua New Guinea and other Pacific nations. The initiative is part of Australia's broader strategy to reduce China's security presence in the region.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Reduction in diplomatic engagements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Counter-retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Trade restrictions • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
