Loading...
Market
Will China acknowledge military intervention in Myanmar by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Chinese government or reports from major international news agencies
Story
China Weighs Military Intervention in Northern Myanmar to Safeguard BRI Projects
Dec 1, 2024, 08:38 AM
China is reportedly considering deploying private military contractors (PMCs) to Myanmar to protect its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) projects. This move would be a significant risk for China, given the complex geopolitical situation in Myanmar, where the military junta is facing pressure from armed groups. The deployment would be in a 'private' capacity, maintaining the fiction of detachment from official military involvement. This decision comes amidst growing concerns over the security of Chinese investments in the region, with some observers speculating on potential military intervention by China in northern Myanmar.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
India • 25%
Other • 25%
Perpetrators identified and arrested • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal apology issued • 25%
Joint investigation launched • 25%
No formal response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
