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Will Brazil impose additional fines on X or its users by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Brazil's government or legal documents
Story
Brazil's Ban on Musk's X Sparks Free Speech Debate, Led by Justice Moraes
Sep 18, 2024, 11:30 PM
Brazil's 22 million X users have faced a nationwide ban on the platform for the past two weeks, with fines of up to 50,000 reais ($9,000) per day for those attempting to access it via VPNs. The ban, ordered by Brazil's Supreme Court and led by Justice Alexandre de Moraes, has drawn criticism from various quarters, including right-wing politicians and U.S. lawmakers, who argue it is an attack on free speech. Despite the ban, reports indicate that X has become accessible again for many Brazilian users due to a technical update involving Cloudflare, which dynamically changes the platform's IP addresses. The White House has condemned the ban, emphasizing the importance of social media as a form of freedom of speech. X's return to Brazil has been described as 'inadvertent and temporary' by the company. The platform also left Brazil with a debt of 18 million reais.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fines fully paid • 25%
Fines partially paid • 25%
Fines not paid • 25%
Other • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Financial penalties • 25%
No further action • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than $10 million • 25%
$10 million to $50 million • 25%
$50 million to $100 million • 25%
More than $100 million • 25%
