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VisitWill Bolsonaro be arrested for the assassination plot by June 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmation from Brazilian Federal Police or major news outlets
Brazilian Federal Police: Bolsonaro Knew of Plot to Assassinate Lula, Alckmin, and De Moraes
Nov 21, 2024, 04:23 PM
The Brazilian Federal Police have determined that former President Jair Bolsonaro had full knowledge of a plot to assassinate President Lula, Vice President Geraldo Alckmin, and Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. This conclusion was reported by CNN Brasil and is expected to be included in a final report to be submitted to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) on Thursday. Bolsonaro is anticipated to be indicted by the Federal Police in connection with the assassination plot.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Rejected • 33%
Delayed • 34%
Accepted • 33%
Imprisonment • 25%
House arrest • 25%
No significant consequence • 25%
Exile • 25%