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Will Biden's offshore drilling ban face legal challenges by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court records and news reports
Story
Biden to Ban Offshore Drilling on 625 Million Acres, Citing 1953 Law, Ahead of Trump's Pledge
Jan 4, 2025, 08:45 AM
President Joe Biden is set to issue an executive order banning new offshore oil and gas development across approximately 625 million acres of U.S. coastal territory. The ban, expected to be announced on Monday, will cover the Atlantic and Pacific oceans as well as the eastern Gulf of Mexico, aiming to permanently protect these waters from future leasing. This move leverages a provision in the 1953 Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act, which allows the president to withdraw federal waters from oil and gas leasing without explicit language for future reversal. This action is anticipated to complicate efforts by the incoming Trump administration to expand domestic oil and gas production, as Trump has pledged to increase drilling activities.
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Both Federal and State Challenges • 25%
Federal Court Challenge • 25%
State Court Challenge • 25%
No Challenge • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Eastern Gulf of Mexico • 25%
Pacific Coast • 25%
Atlantic Coast • 25%
Alaska's Northern Bering Sea • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Ban modified but in effect • 25%
Ban partially overturned • 25%
Ban fully overturned • 25%