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Will awareness of alcohol's link to cancer increase among Americans by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Results from a Gallup poll or similar reputable survey
Story
Surgeon General Calls for Cancer Warnings on Alcohol Labels Linked to Seven Types of Cancer, Third-Leading Preventable Cause
Jan 11, 2025, 03:29 PM
U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy has issued an advisory recommending that alcohol labels include warnings about the link between alcohol consumption and cancer. This advisory highlights that alcohol is associated with at least seven types of cancer, including breast cancer, and identifies it as the third-leading preventable cause of cancer. Despite the advisory, there are concerns that such warnings may not significantly alter Americans' drinking habits. Recent data indicates that less than half of Americans are aware of the connection between alcohol and cancer, with a Gallup poll showing that alcohol consumption among Americans aged 18-34 has decreased from 72% to 62% over the past two decades. The advisory has sparked discussions among health experts regarding its implications for public health and the adult beverage industry.
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61% to 70% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Decreases • 25%
Remains the same • 25%
Increases slightly • 25%
Increases significantly • 25%
Increased by 30% • 25%
Increased by 10% • 25%
Increased by 20% • 25%
Increased by more than 30% • 25%
Increase in awareness but no significant change in consumption • 25%
No significant change in awareness or consumption • 25%
Significant backlash against warnings • 25%
Significant increase in awareness and reduction in consumption • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Still Pending • 34%
Approved • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Less than 40% support • 25%
40-59% support • 25%
60-79% support • 25%
80% or more support • 25%