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Market
Will any terrorist group claim responsibility for the thwarted Vienna Taylor Swift concert attack by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from terrorist groups or official intelligence reports
Story
CIA Intelligence Thwarts Plot to Kill Tens of Thousands at Vienna Taylor Swift Concert
Aug 28, 2024, 07:40 PM
The CIA provided crucial intelligence that enabled Austrian authorities to thwart a terrorist plot targeting a Taylor Swift concert in Vienna earlier this month. The plot, which was intended to kill tens of thousands of people, including Americans, was disrupted thanks to the efforts of the CIA and local security forces. Deputy CIA Director David Cohen highlighted the significance of the intelligence in preventing a major attack.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No further changes • 25%
Additional concerts canceled • 25%
Concerts rescheduled • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
