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Will any of the 23 Ukrainians associated with the Azov Brigade receive a sentence of 20 years or more by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Russian court statements or verified news sources
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Russia Seeks 16 to 24 Years for 23 Ukrainians in Azov Brigade
Aug 22, 2024, 08:07 AM
Russian prosecutors are seeking prison sentences ranging from 16 to 24 years for 23 Ukrainian citizens associated with the Azov Brigade. The individuals, including Mariupol defenders and former service members, are accused of expressing negative attitudes toward the Russian-speaking population and supporting pro-Ukrainian radical views. Reports indicate that most of the female defendants were involved in logistical support roles, such as cooking.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Disbanded • 25%
Continues to operate • 25%
Leaders arrested • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted and imprisoned • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Ongoing trial • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tried in Ukrainian courts • 25%
Exchanged in a prisoner swap • 25%
Released • 25%
Other • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Ongoing trials • 25%
No legal actions • 25%
