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Will any nonprofit lose tax-exempt status under HR 9495 by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the IRS or relevant government agency
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Congress to Vote on HR 9495 Allowing Trump to Revoke Nonprofit Tax Status for Terrorism Support, Targeting Pro-Palestine Groups
Nov 12, 2024, 09:00 PM
The U.S. Congress is preparing to vote on bipartisan legislation that would empower the government to revoke the tax-exempt status of any nonprofit organization classified as a 'terrorist-supporting organization.' This bill, which is expected to receive a fast-track vote in the House, has raised concerns about its potential misuse, particularly by former President Donald Trump against his political opponents. Critics argue that the legislation could target charities and pro-Palestine groups, threatening the operations of U.S. civil society organizations that document human rights abuses globally. The proposed bill, designated as HR 9495, has been characterized by some as an authoritarian tactic, reflecting broader concerns about the implications for civil liberties and nonprofit work in the United States.
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Yes • 50%
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Planned Parenthood • 25%
ACLU • 25%
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Religious organization • 25%
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Legal challenge filed • 33%
Public protest organized • 33%
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