Loading...
Market
Will an Atlantic hurricane reach Category 3 or higher due to climate change by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reports and climate research publications
Story
Climate Change Intensified Hurricane Milton to Category 3, Researchers Find
Oct 11, 2024, 04:08 PM
Climate change has been identified as a significant factor in the rapid intensification of Hurricane Milton into a major storm. Researchers have found that Hurricane Milton experienced intensified rain and wind due to climate change, according to experts. A rapid analysis by scientists revealed that Milton might have made landfall as a weaker Category 2 storm if not for the effects of climate change. Compared to 1850, Milton today had 30% more rainfall and was a full Category stronger at landfall, reaching Category 3 instead of 2. This finding, reported by AFP, underscores the substantial impact of climate change on hurricane behavior.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-2 hurricanes • 25%
3-5 hurricanes • 25%
6-8 hurricanes • 25%
More than 8 hurricanes • 25%
Category 3 • 25%
Category 4 • 25%
Category 5 • 25%
None • 25%
Category 1 • 25%
Category 2 • 25%
Category 3 • 25%
Category 4 or higher • 25%
Hurricane A • 25%
Hurricane B • 25%
Hurricane C • 25%
Other • 25%
Category 1 • 25%
Category 2 • 25%
Category 3 • 25%
Category 4 or 5 • 25%