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Will allegations of conflicts of interest involving Trump Org and foreign deals arise by January 2026?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Credible news reports or official investigations
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Trump Organization Hires William Burck as Ethics Advisor, Allows Private Foreign Deals
Jan 10, 2025, 06:46 PM
The Trump Organization has announced an ethics plan for President-elect Donald Trump's second term, which includes limiting his involvement in the company's management and financial decisions. According to the plan, Trump will not be involved in day-to-day management and will have limited access to financial information, receiving only general business updates. The company will also not enter into new contracts with foreign governments during his presidency. Additionally, the Trump Organization has hired William Burck as an outside ethics advisor to vet deals. The ethics plan marks a departure from Trump's first term by allowing the company to engage in private foreign deals, a policy shift that has raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Potential conflicts of interest with foreign entities • 25%
Insufficient separation from day-to-day business • 25%
Lack of transparency in financial dealings • 25%
No, not reported • 50%
Yes, reported • 50%
