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Market
Will AIPAC invest over $10 million in any single 2024 Congressional race?
3
Cori Bush•Squad•Missouri•1st Congressional District•Wesley Bell•Bush•Israel•AIPAC•Bell•Jamaal Bowman
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Campaign finance reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or other reliable campaign finance tracking sources.
Story
Cori Bush Loses Primary to Wesley Bell in Missouri's 1st District with 54.2% to 42.8%
Aug 7, 2024, 01:14 AM
Democratic Representative Cori Bush, a member of the progressive 'Squad,' has lost her primary election in Missouri's 1st Congressional District to St. Louis County prosecutor Wesley Bell. Bush, known for her anti-Israel stance, faced significant opposition from pro-Israel groups such as AIPAC, which invested over $8 million in the race to support Bell. With 26% of the vote reported, Bell led with 54.2% (19,215 votes) compared to Bush's 42.8% (15,187 votes). Earlier reports showed Bell leading with 67.4% to Bush's 29.6%. Bush's defeat marks the second loss for a 'Squad' member this year, following Jamaal Bowman's defeat in June.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than $120 million • 25%
$120 million to $140 million • 25%
$140 million to $160 million • 25%
More than $160 million • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in pro-Israel policy support • 25%
Displacement of working-class interest representatives • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
