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Will AfD increase its vote share in 2025 German federal election?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the German Federal Returning Officer
Story
Elon Musk Sparks Outrage by Endorsing Germany's Far-Right AfD: 'Only the AfD Can Save Germany'
Dec 20, 2024, 06:50 PM
Elon Musk has endorsed Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party ahead of the country's upcoming elections, stating on his platform X (formerly Twitter) that 'Only the AfD can save Germany.' The endorsement has sparked outrage among German politicians, who accuse Musk of interfering in the election. Chancellor Olaf Scholz dismissed Musk's assertion, emphasizing that freedom of opinion applies to everyone—even multimillionaires. The AfD, classified as a suspected extremist organization by German domestic intelligence due to its links to neo-Nazi groups, has been gaining popularity in recent polls. Musk's support marks his increasing involvement in European politics, following previous endorsements of populist right-wing parties in other countries.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD joins coalition government • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Wins majority • 25%
Forms coalition government • 25%
Remains in opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Above 30% • 25%
25-30% • 25%
20-25% • 25%
Below 20% • 25%
