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Will a vote of no confidence against Justin Trudeau be initiated by March 2025?
4
Liberal•Justin Trudeau•Parliament Hill•Trudeau•Mary Ng•Ontario•Kathleen Wynne•Liberal Party•Montreal
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records from the Canadian Parliament or credible news outlets
Story
30 Liberal MPs Seek to Oust Trudeau After By-Election Loss
Oct 12, 2024, 09:56 AM
A growing number of Liberal Members of Parliament, reportedly around 30 MPs, are mounting a new effort to oust Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, expressing concerns that 'the status quo is leading us to obliteration'. MPs have been pulled into meetings across Parliament Hill to sign a pledge demanding a change at the top, waiting until both Trudeau and his chief of staff were out of the country to initiate the move. Trade Minister Mary Ng expressed disappointment over reports of a caucus revolt. Internal discussions among Liberals compare Trudeau's situation to that of former Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne's loss. The Liberal Party recently lost a by-election in Montreal, traditionally considered a safe seat, which has been seen as a referendum on Trudeau's leadership. Political commentators attribute the party's lackluster state to Trudeau's policies and leadership style.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
Vote fails • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Motion Passes • 33%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Vote passes, government falls • 25%
Vote fails, government remains • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Vote cancelled • 25%