Loading...
Market
Will a snap election be called in France by the end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the French government and major news outlets
Story
French Left-Wing Coalition Surpasses Macron and Le Pen in July 7 Elections
Jul 7, 2024, 06:11 PM
In a surprising turn of events on July 7, 2024, the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) coalition is projected to win the most seats in the second round of the French parliamentary elections, according to exit polls. The NFP is estimated to secure between 172 and 215 seats, surpassing President Emmanuel Macron's centrist Ensemble coalition, which is expected to win between 150 and 182 seats. Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) is projected to come in third place with 110 to 158 seats. Despite the NFP's lead, no party is expected to achieve an absolute majority of 289 seats, resulting in a hung parliament. This unexpected result marks a significant setback for Le Pen, who was anticipated to perform much better, and indicates a potential coalition government between Macron's Ensemble and the NFP.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Other • 25%
Rassemblement National majority • 25%
Rassemblement National coalition government • 25%
Other party majority • 25%
Hung parliament • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Minority government formed • 25%
Other • 25%
