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Will a significant scientific discovery be attributed to OpenAI's superintelligence by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Scientific journals and credible news reports
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OpenAI Confident in Building AGI, Aims for Superintelligence by 2025
Jan 6, 2025, 06:38 AM
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has announced that the company is confident in its ability to build Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as traditionally understood. Altman predicts that by 2025, the first AI agents could join the workforce, significantly impacting company outputs. Additionally, OpenAI is shifting its focus beyond AGI to the development of superintelligence, which Altman believes could accelerate scientific discovery and innovation far beyond current human capabilities, leading to increased abundance and prosperity. This shift marks a new phase for OpenAI, as it aims to achieve what Altman describes as 'superintelligence in the true sense of the word.'
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased productivity • 25%
Scientific breakthroughs • 25%
Improved decision-making • 25%
Cost reduction • 25%
Other • 25%
Scientific Research • 25%
Healthcare Solutions • 25%
Business Optimization • 25%