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Will a major study on dementia prevention be published by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publications in journals like Nature Medicine, The Lancet, or JAMA
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US Dementia Cases to Reach 1 Million Annually by 2060, With 42% Lifetime Risk After Age 55
Jan 13, 2025, 07:01 PM
A new study published in Nature Medicine projects that the number of new dementia cases in the United States will double by 2060, rising from approximately 514,000 in 2020 to about 1 million annually. The research, which analyzed data from over 15,000 participants, estimates that the lifetime risk of developing dementia after age 55 is approximately 42%. The study highlights that the risk is higher among certain groups, with women facing a 48% risk and men a 35% risk. Additionally, Black Americans are at a higher risk, with a projected increase in cases that will triple by 2060 compared to 2020 levels. The findings underscore the urgent need for policies to support healthy aging and address health equity.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Neurodegenerative Diseases • 25%
Cardiovascular Diseases • 25%
Other • 25%
Cancer • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Research inconclusive • 25%
No link found • 25%
Confirmed link in humans • 25%
Link confirmed but only in specific populations • 25%